标题: A Rand Report Commissioned by a Congressional commission on PLA Weaknesses [打印本页] 作者: choi 时间: 2-13-2015 11:59 标题: A Rand Report Commissioned by a Congressional commission on PLA Weaknesses Michael S Chase, Jeffrey Engstrom, Tai Ming Cheung, Kristen A Gunness, Scott Warren Harold, Susan Puska, Samuel K Berkowitz, China’s Incomplete Military Transformation; Assessing the Weaknesses of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA). ARand Corp, February 2015
origin.www.uscc.gov/sites/default/files ... rmation_2.11.15.pdf
("This research report was prepared at the request of the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission to support its deliberations")
Quote:
"Many Chinese strategists identify the inability to conduct integrated joint operations [coordinating air fore, navy, army, missile force and special operations] at the desired level of competence as the central problem China faces" Executive Summary xi
"Until recently, the PLAN has not placed much emphasis on ASW [antisubmarine warfare], perhaps because it was more focused on antiaccess than on expeditionary deployments and because its fleet was not mature enough to warrant such capabilities. Now that the PLAN has a good number of large, modern combatants, it appears to be address- ing its lack of ASW capabilities." p 93
China "lacks amphibious lift sufficient to transport sufficient ground units to Taiwan’s shores. This could be remedied between now and 2025, and he PLA could also ameliorate the weakness by increasing the capacity to deliver more forces by air or special operations means." pp 94-95
"Special-mission aircraft are in short supply in the PLA. Although special-mission aircraft are a combat multiplier for modern air forces, both the PLAAF and PLANAF [navy air force] have few special-mission aircraft. Indeed, the PLA possesses only 13 aerial tankers, which are converted H-6 bomber aircraft [citation omitted]. The ability of these aerial tankers to extend the range and time on station of combat aircraft is further diminished by their inability to refuel the PLA’s Russian-made or -designed aircraft (ie, J-11, Su-27, and Su-30). Similarly, few AEW&C [airborne early warning and control] aircraft are available to assist in the detection of enemy aircraft, which limits the PLA’s situational awareness and its ability to coordinate a response to deal with incoming air threats." pp 104-105
"The PLA continues to lack substantial airlift capability. When the PLAAF was tasked to send transports to Libya in 2011 to conduct a NEO [noncombatant evacuation operation], the four aircraft dispatched constituted 40 percent of the PLA’s entire heavy lift fleet. At present, that fleet consists only of Russian-made Il-76 transports. Medium[-range] airlift is also limited, with a fleet of fewer than 50 turboprop transports." p 105
"It is not entirely clear how the PLA is attempting to resolve its lack of special-mission aircraft [such as tanker and AEW&C] * * * PLA [has been] waiting for the Y-20 heavy transport to become operational. Variants of the Y-20 are expected to be developed that will provide the PLA further aircraft for aerial tanking and AEW&C roles [citation omitted]. In the meantime, China is acquiring IL-78 tankers from Ukraine to help improve its limited aerial refueling capabilities." pp 110-111
My comment: There is no need to read the rest. In summary, the report does not reveal any secrets.