本帖最后由 choi 于 3-15-2018 09:43 编辑
(4) Andrey Biryukov and Evgenia Pismennaya, Cn Putin Make Russia Great Again?
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/a ... e-s-losing-russians
Quote:
"For many [Russians], the pain of the most recent recession—which at seven quarters was the longest of Putin's rule—lingers. Video simulations showing new missiles seemingly targeting Florida got most of the attention at Putin's state of the nation address on March 1, but he actually devoted more of the speech to promising to lift living standards that are lower than they were during his last campaign [in 2012].
"Putin's ambition at the start of his 18-year rule [prime minister 1999-2000; president 2000-2008; prime minister 2008-2012; president 2012- (in 2011, presidency was extended from 4 to 6 years): en.wikipedia,org for Putin] was to overtake Portugal in living standards—a milestone that looks increasingly out of reach. Incomes more than doubled in the first decade of his tenure, but they've stalled and are roughly where they were in 2010.
"With little prospect for another big runup in oil prices or an easing of Western sanctions, the Kremlin’s options for igniting growth are limited. The central bank estimates the best Russia can hope for is 1.5 percent to 2 percent a year. Among the factors holding back the economy are a shrinking workforce and years of underinvestment.
Note:
(a) summary underneath the title in print: A promised surge in government spending may not be enough to halt economy's slide
(b) The online version is identical to print.
(c) Regarding quotation 1.
(i) Anna Andrianova, Russian Recovery Sputters as Economy Continues Slog After Crisis. Bloomberg, May 17, 2017 ("GDP, which contracted for seven quarters before growing in the last three months of 2016").
(ii) Russia experienced great recession in 2008-2009 (in part due to its invasion of Georgia, Aug 7-12, 2008, which resulted in sanction imposed by George W Bush that was lifted by Obama in 2010). Russia pumped hundred of billions (in US dollars) into its economy but could not prevent negative GDP growth in the first two quarters of 2009 (recession lasted only two quarters that time, but was very deep)..
(d) CIA World Factbook (all 2017 estimates):
Portugal (population 10.9m; GDP per capita (PPP) $30,300)
Russia (population 142m; GDP per capita (PPP) $27,900)
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