本帖最后由 choi 于 11-29-2018 17:32 编辑
(3) Ageing in Japan | Demographic Warrior. Shinzo Abe outlines his plans to boost workforce and trim spending on the elderly. But will they be enough?
Quote:
"There are 400,000 more deaths than births each year. * * * The welfare state has become unaffordable. Public debt is 250% of GDP. And Japan is suffering from an acute labor shortage. * * * One obvious solution is immigration. Only 2% of the workforce is foreign-born, compared with 17% in America. But the [Japanese] government has been surreptiously admitting more foreign workers, mostly in the guise of students and trainees.
"During his six-year tenure, 2m more women has joined the workforce, lifting the female participation rate above America's. He has increased the number of nurseries * * * From next year the nurseries will be free. Over half of women return to work after having a child, compared with 38% in 2010.
"many [Japanese] companies have * * * taken to rehiring retired workers, often on a part0time basis. Fully 23% of over-65s work; they constitute a much bigger share of the workforce than in other rich countries (see chart). * * * In the long run, the prime minister hopes, robots and artificial intelligence will help ease the labour shortage.
Note: The chart:
"Setting sun
Over-65s in employment, 2017
% o f the workforce
Japan ~12.2% ['~' because I eye the chart]
United States 6
Britain ~3.5
Germany ~2.8
Italy ~2.5
France ~1.4
Sources: Eurostat; national statistics"
(4) Schumpeter | China v America; The career of Hank Paulson and Wang Qishan illustrate the tension in superpower relations.
Quote:
"If you want to understand the commercial relationship between American and China, it is worth tracking the paths of two powerful people who have dedicated their career to it. Henry Paulson [which is birth name; Hank is nickname of Henry] * * * and Wang Qishan * * *
"China has not opened up its financial industry -- Goldman [Sachs] makes less money from Asia now than in Mr Paulson's last year in charge [CEO 1999-2006, then as US secretary of treasury 2006-2009] and has only 1% of its balance-sheet exposed to China. Still, in total[,] USA Inc made $450bn-$500bn of sales from China last year. An elite of a dozen or so firms, including Apple and Boeing, make [no 's'] over $1bn in profits. China exported $500bn of goods to America. Measured this way the relationship is roughly in balance. In private many American executives still view China as the world's most important market after their own. In public, they have turned hawkish. This may reflect an intimidating political climate at home.
"Just as business responded to China's opening up in the 1990s, so it is adjusting to a new, de facto cold war. Charles Li, the head of Hong Kong's exchanges, says the two economies are like saltwater and freshwater systems that meet but but do not mix well. [American companies are stockpiling inventories, seeking alternatives in supply chains]
Note:
(a) In quotation 2, "from China" presumably means American corporations' subsidiaries in China.
(b) Charles Li: 香港交易所行政總裁 (CEO; 2010- ) 李小加 (1961- ; JD Columbia 1991, MA University of Alabama 1988, BA (in English) 廈門大學 1984 |