(1) Charles Kenny, Factory Jobs Are Gone. Get Over It.
www.businessweek.com/articles/20 ... ployment-inequality
Quote:
"But this factory obsession is based on flawed economics. As the Brookings Institute economist Justin Wolfers asked recently, 'What’s with the political fetish for manufacturing? Are factories really so awesome?'
"In 1953 manufacturing accounted for 28 percent of US gross domestic product, according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. By 1980 that had dropped to 20 percent, and it reached 12 percent in 2012. Over that time, US GDP increased from $2.6 trillion to $15.5 trillion, which means that absolute manufacturing output more than tripled in 60 years. Those goods were produced by fewer people. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the number of employees in manufacturing was 16 million in 1953 (about a third of total nonfarm employment), 19 million in 1980 (about a fifth of nonfarm employment), and 12 million in 2012 (about a tenth of nonfarm employment).
"Service industries—hotels, hospitals, media, and accounting—have taken up the slack. Even much of the value generated by US manufacturing involves service work—about a third of the total. More than half of all people still employed in the US manufacturing sector work in such services as management, technical support, and sales.
"Over the past 30 years, manufacturers have spent more on labor-saving machinery and hired fewer but more skilled workers to run it. From 1980 to 2012 across the whole economy, output per hour worked increased 85 percent. In manufacturing output per hour climbed 189 percent. The proportion of manufacturing workers with some college education has increased from one-fifth to one-half since 1969.
Note:
(a) summary underneath the title of print: Politicians think creating millions of high-tech manufacturing jobs is the answer. It isn't
(b) “"Over that time [1953-2012], US GDP increased from $2.6 trillion to $15.5 trillion, which means that absolute manufacturing output more than tripled in 60 years."
(i) The GDP figures in the first clause are adjusted for inflation. Usually the baseline (for the comparison) must be explicitly indicated, but most likely both figures are based on chained 2009 dollar.
(A) chained dollar
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chained_dollars
(B) Glossary: Chain index; Statistics Explained. Eurostat, European Commission, undated
epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/Glossary:Chain_index
(ii) The second clause “absolute manufacturing output more than tripled in 60 years” says that although the slice of manufacturing in the pie (which is GDP) became smaller with years (RELATIVE to the pie; 1953-2012), the pie has actually grown sixty (60) times in the same period, so much so that the slice manufacturing also has grown bigger in absolute values.
(c) There is no need to read the rest. |