(5) Ian King, Chips Aren’t Getting Much Smaller.
www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... at-stinks-for-intel
Quote:
presently: "Many circuit lines are narrower than the wavelengths of light used to create them.
"Three companies—Intel, Samsung Electronics, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC)—will account for about half of the $32 billion in spending on new chip plants and equipment next year, estimates investment adviser Stifel Nicolaus. A decade ago, the top five spenders accounted for 40 percent of the industry’s capital expenditures.
"The company’s [Intel's] remaining rivals haven’t seriously challenged its 99.3 percent market share in server processors or its 89 percent of PC chips. * * * The next logical step for giants such as Facebook, Google, and Amazon.com is to consider designing their own [server] chips for their data centers[, thus becoming potential customers of TSMC or Samsung].
Note:
(a) summary underneath the title in print: Intel says Moore’s Law is slowing, and that could make it tougher for the company to elbow its way into mobile
(b) "For Intel, the industry’s high-table stakes have been an advantage, a way to force out those who couldn’t spend enough to keep up. "
For "high-table," see table limit
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Table_limit
(c) "Ultimately, though, a slowing of Moore’s Law could give TSMC and Samsung more time to catch their mobile chips up to Intel’s PC and server models."
I do not trust forecasts. Yet both TSMC and Samsung have provided a road map to 10nm: 2Q16 for the former and "possible" at the end of 2016 for Samsung. Intel repeatedly put off 10nm (by pushing dates into future each time) and since last spring has not said when it might come out.
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