薛兆丰：华尔街巨额奖金事件有益无害

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[<div class="EntryBody"> [<h1>[<a target=_blank rel="bookmark" href="http://xuezhaofeng.com/blog/?p=797">华尔街巨额奖金事件有益无害[</a>[</h1>[<div class="dateforleft">
Posted on Wednesday, March 18, 2009 at 12:50 am[</div>
上周末美国的AIG公司支付了它金融部门十多位高层管理人员1.65亿美元的奖金，这两天引起众怒。是好事，我想不出任何坏处。
华尔街巨额奖金事件有益无害
薛兆丰
2009年3月18日
上周末美国的AIG公司支付了它金融部门十多位高层管理人员1.65亿美元的奖金，这两天引起众怒。是好事，我想不出任何坏处。奖金是一年前议定的，目的是慰留人才。公司现在的环境不算差，政府是80%的主人，员工是大半个国企雇员了。
如果公司破产，那么接手的人或许可以重新商议这批劳动合同；但政府接管，不是破产，劳动合同固然生效。按照康州法律，欠薪的雇主要支付双倍工资并负责律师费，政府撕毁合同的短期影响比支付奖金的更恶劣，而长期影响就更不堪设想。
这笔奖金其实只是政府注入该公司的千分一，九牛一毛，不算什么。就是两个礼拜前，还有议员大声疾呼要从速花钱：“人都躺倒了，当然要赶紧救，还讨论什么责任，还讨论什么花得值不值，当然有些浪费，但重要的是花出去，重建市场信心，增加有效需求……”而事实上说这些话的何止几个议员？现在应该反省的是他们而不是高管。
从增加“有效需求”的角度看，把钱集中给这些高管，可能会更直接更迅速地刺激房地产和股市。真的，给点时间，我能把整个“凯恩斯刺激链条”说得更清楚。整个救市计划，目的本来就是要维持现状，即[<a target=_blank href="http://xuezhaofeng.com/blog/?p=718">美国的生产力不变[</a>的现状。要说浪费，整个救市计划就是上千倍上万倍的浪费，为什么就特别针对此事大惊小怪？要说刺激经济，高管们恐怕比老百姓更容易制造有效需求。
当然，整件事情，最大的好处，是让人们对奥巴马产生怀疑——很多人还是第一次。
我不是在开玩笑，但也不要误会我。我是说，把金融危机归咎于自由市场，然后把政府请出来做救兵，是错上加错，简直是胡作非为；但遵守劳动合同给高管支付奖金不仅没有增加错误，而且还增加了认识和改正错误的一点机会。
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评论(8) [<a target=_blank id="ctl00_Main_CommentList1_OrderDescButton" href="javascript:__doPostBack('ctl00$Main$CommentList1$OrderDescButton','')">按反序排列[</a> [<input name="ctl00$Main$CommentList1$SortDirectionField" id="ctl00_Main_CommentList1_SortDirectionField" value="ASC" type="hidden"> [<table class="summarylist fixedtable" id="ctl00_Main_CommentList1_CommentGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0">
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[<div class="CommentTitle"> [<div id="ctl00_Main_CommentList1_CommentGrid_ctl02_MenuLabel" class="ContextMenuTarget"> [匿名] joey [131.180.40.*] @ 2009-3-18 17:59:01 [</div>
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[<div class="CommentBody"> 为了反对而反对 [</div>
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[<div class="CommentTitle"> [<div id="ctl00_Main_CommentList1_CommentGrid_ctl03_MenuLabel" class="ContextMenuTarget"> [匿名] 夏洛特 [133.9.49.*] @ 2009-3-18 19:13:37 [</div>
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[<div class="CommentBody"> 引起众怒是因为这些高管正是把公司带入破产境地的元凶（VOA原话）。

把美国政府和AIG换成中国政府和中石化你就不会这么说了


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[<div class="CommentTitle"> [<div id="ctl00_Main_CommentList1_CommentGrid_ctl04_MenuLabel" class="ContextMenuTarget"> [匿名] SPEECHLESS [12.47.208.*] @ 2009-3-18 20:30:51 [</div>
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[<div class="CommentBody"> 要说刺激经济，高管们恐怕比老百姓更容易制造有效需求。

You are just a stupid guy. FULL STOP. [</div>
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[<div class="CommentTitle"> [<div id="ctl00_Main_CommentList1_CommentGrid_ctl05_MenuLabel" class="ContextMenuTarget"> [<a target=_blank id="ctl00_Main_CommentList1_CommentGrid_ctl05_AuthorLink" href="http://www.bullogger.com/users/%e4%b8%89%e6%80%9d%e5%90%be%e6%8c%91/" target="_blank">三思吾挑[</a> [24.19.33.*] @ 2009-3-18 20:54:42 [</div>
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[<div class="CommentBody"> 弱弱地问一句博主，该奖金的发放是黑纸百字载于这批劳动合同之上吗？ [</div>
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[<div class="CommentTitle"> [<div id="ctl00_Main_CommentList1_CommentGrid_ctl06_MenuLabel" class="ContextMenuTarget"> [匿名] 江苏人在上海 [64.182.119.*] @ 2009-3-18 23:35:24 [</div>
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[<div class="CommentBody"> 咱中国就没有这样的事儿！

因为，普天之下，莫非党产！

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[<div class="CommentTitle"> [<div id="ctl00_Main_CommentList1_CommentGrid_ctl07_MenuLabel" class="ContextMenuTarget"> [匿名] hootie [129.2.57.*] @ 2009-3-19 3:32:48 [</div>
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[<div class="CommentBody">奖金的制定是假设这些“人才”会赚钱。AIG几乎破产证明了他们不会赚钱。事实是，整个事情无异于拿整个国家的经济作人质来敲诈政府，政府借钱给AIG不是觉得他经营的好，而是为了防止AIG的倒闭给别人带来的损失。有报道说一年前决定这些奖金的时候AIG已经有严重的问题。

这个问题要在两个方面来看，道德上和法律上。道德上，正如我所说，AIG的人是在敲诈。如果没有政府，他们全都会失业，也就拿不到奖金。但是因为他们的倒台会祸及他人，政府不得已给他们钱，这就是敲诈。法律上，因为有合同，所以你可以认为是合法的敲诈。但是，即使在法律上，也不是有合同就一定要给他们钱（要不然那么多人打官司干嘛）。这里有篇文章：http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/18/opinion/18cunningham.html?ref=opinion提出了很多可能性：他们的合同中规定如果此人被解雇，就拿不到奖金。在某些情况下，法庭可以终止合同，如果合同的原意已经不符合现实情况。法律上也有条文禁止经济困难的公司把财富转移给他人。总而言之，不论是道德上还是法律上，给AIG这帮人的钱都不象博主说的那样天经地义。

另外，如果把钱给有钱人更有利于刺激经济，我认为AIG应该把这些钱都给我。虽然我没钱，但我拿到这些钱以后就变成了有钱人，所以把钱给我是完全有利于经济的。 [</div>
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[<div class="CommentTitle"> [<div id="ctl00_Main_CommentList1_CommentGrid_ctl08_MenuLabel" class="ContextMenuTarget"> [<a target=_blank id="ctl00_Main_CommentList1_CommentGrid_ctl08_AuthorLink" href="http://www.bullogger.com/users/sunyuting/" target="_blank">sunyuting[</a> [18.242.7.*] @ 2009-3-19 3:58:36 [</div>
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[<div class="CommentBody"> 倒数第二段逻辑正常，剩下的...哎... [</div>
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[<div class="CommentTitle"> [<div id="ctl00_Main_CommentList1_CommentGrid_ctl09_MenuLabel" class="ContextMenuTarget"> [匿名] gaohan_cn [80.44.211.*] @ 2009-3-19 4:19:03 [</div>
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[<div class="CommentBody"> 你们没有人理解楼主的意思。

楼主的逻辑当然成立，不过前提是承认自由市场准则，如果承认自由市场准则的话，政府根本就不应该出手！！！那就更没有所谓什么发不发奖金了。

绑架政府？呵呵。 [</div>
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