分析：江泽民到底还有多大影响力？

choi

本文通过一路BBS站telnet客户端发布


BBC Chinese, July 7, 2011
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/indepth/2011/07/110707_ana_jiang_influence.shtml

香港著名中国事务评论人士林和立认为:

"在中共高层权力角逐中，江泽民已经出局了。他说，据可靠消息 ，江的健康状况已经很糟糕，恢复的可能性很低，基本上他已经发挥不了多大影响力了 * * * 但是江泽民的'上海帮'的影响力仍然在

"胡锦涛离退休只有一年了，从现在到中共十八大的一年多里，他可不可以利用这次江泽民病危的机会进一步巩固'团派'势力，这个还要看往后几个月的运作。

"江泽民的去世对于中国重大的社会经济政策不会有重大影响，唯一的影响就是明年召开的十八大人事安排


-----------------------------------Separately
(1) 鲍彤：没有人民监督的皇帝绝对腐败. BBC Chinese, July 8, 2011
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/chinese_news/2011/07/110708_baotong_reu_interview.shtml
("批评中国政府拘押异见人士维稳的做法会适得其反")

My comment: The report is based on
Sui-Lee Wee, China Ex-Official Warns Crackdown Risks Instability. Reuters, July 8, 2011.
http://ph.news.yahoo.com/china-ex-official-warns-crackdown-risks-instability-072917848.html

Quote:

"Bao was harsh on China's Hu * * * 'He's telling the world that China's laws don't count. Only I, Hu Jintao, matter.'

"Bao was more sympathetic to Wen and applauded the premier's recent calls for democracy and human rights, most recently last month in London. 'One thing I haven't figured out is what the motive of his comments are'

"Bao said he had high hopes for Vice President Xi. * * * 'I hope he will make a difference. I hope he will not be ... a second Hu Jintao.'

(2)  “内蒙维权人士新娜准会见家属.” BBC Chinese, July 8, 2011
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/chinese_news/2011/07/110708_china_inner_mongolia_activist.shtml
("新娜是著名维权人士哈达的妻子，她与儿子维勒斯去年12月被拘留，今年1月正式被捕，并分别被控以'非法经营罪'和'藏毒罪'”)

(3) 艾滋病患者试图探访胡佳遭带走. BBC Chinese, July 8, 2011.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/chinese_news/2011/07/110708_china_aids_activist.shtml

(4)
(a) 从日常用品中体味巨变下的生活. BBC Chinese, July 7, 2011
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/chinese_news/2011/07/110707_hk_china_exhibition.shtml
(展品主要由北京市朝阳区文化馆提供)
(b) 图辑：香港举办中国生活记忆展览. BBC Chinese, July 8, 2011
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/multimedia/2011/07/110708_gal_hk_memoriesoflife_china.shtml

(5) 广州增城骚乱事件两名官员被免职. BBC Chinese, July 8, 2011
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/chinese_news/2011/07/110708_china_unrest_charges.shtml
("新华社引述广州市委官员说，发生骚乱的新塘镇党委书记刘某和副书记麦某已被免去党内职务，并建议免去麦某的新塘镇镇长职务")

(6) 王荔蕻维权义无反顾 遭扣押各方吁请关注. VOA Chinese, July 8, 2011
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20110708-Human-Rights-Activist-Wang-Lihong-125220169.html
("2010年10月，王荔蕻因为和朋友庆祝刘晓波获得诺贝尔奖被拘留八天。此后她不断受到监视，多次被软禁。2011年3月21日晚，她再度被警方带走，4月29日被正式逮捕，罪名是'聚众扰乱社会治安'”)

(7) 姚立法家半月内两次被抄. VOA Chinese, July 8, 2011.
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20110708-china-election-specialist-125213099.html

(8) 陕西退伍兵静坐 烟台维权者遭警告. VOA Chinese, July 7, 2011
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20110707-China-Retired-PLA-125150679.html
(中国陕西省一批退伍老兵近日到省政府机构外面静坐，要求当局予以妥善安置，抗议地方政府威胁、恐吓、监控并拘押审问老兵上访代表; 6月30日在烟台市人大外面参加近千名军转干部请愿活动的王秋兰表示，她在接受境外媒体采访谈及烟台军转干部到市人大请愿后受到市政府维稳办官员和她所在单位领导的威胁警告)

(9) 访民北京唱红歌惹麻烦. VOA Chinese, July 7, 2011.
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20110707-Red-Song-Singers-Arrested-125142349.html

--