索罗斯：中国经济面临硬着陆风险

choi

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VOA Chinese, June 15, 2011.
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20110615-soros-china-123942359.html

Note: The report cites
(a) Josiane Kremer, Soros Says China Missed Window to Stem Inflation, Now Risks ‘Hard Landing.’ Bloomberg, June 14, 2011
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-14/soros-says-china-missed-window-to-stem-inflation-now-risks-hard-landing-.html
(b) Shamin Adam, Roubini Says ‘Perfect Storm’ May Threaten Global Economy. Bloomberg, June 12, 2011
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-11/china-economy-at-risk-of-hard-landing-after-2013-nouriel-roubini-says.html
(c) 托列多大学经济学教授张欣 Gene Hsin CHANG, Department of Economics, Univeersity of Toledo
http://homepages.utoledo.edu/gchang/


------------------------------Separately
(1) 中国澳大利亚有可能交换囚犯. VOA Chinese, June 15, 2011
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20110615-australia-prisoners-china-123944899.html
("据估计中国总共关押了25名澳大利亚公民，包括力拓公司高管胡士泰。同时还有16名澳籍公民目前处于等待审理或宣判的拘押中。至于有多少中国公民在澳大利亚被监禁，设在堪培拉的澳大利亚司法部说，没有这方面的估计数字")

(2) 中国的财富外逃和外流. VOA Chinese, June 15, 2011.
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20110615-great-wealth-china-123944239.html

Quote:

"据统计，截止到2009年，到海外的中国留学人员达到162万，但回国人员不到49万，占总数的不到三分之一。

"中国央行最近公布的一份报告说，从上世纪九十年代中期以来，1万8千名不法党政干部、事业企业高官，驻外中资机构，公安司法干部等，总计携款8千亿元人民币外逃。不过，中国问题观察人士认为，中国官员外逃人数以及携款数额，远不止官方公开披露的数据。

"《未来10年》(The Next Decade)的作者、美国著名军事政治专家乔治·弗里德曼最近在接受媒体采访对目前中国的评价是“崩溃”，而不是崛起。

Note:
(a) Quotation 2 mentions
中国贪官卷款八千亿元人民币外逃. VOA Chinese, June 15, 2011
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20110615-corruptions-of-chinese-officials-123904479.html
("这份报告由中国人民银行反洗钱监测分析中心课题组于2008年6月完成，但却在日前首次披露")

The same report by China says more actually:
报告：香港是内地贪官洗钱外逃中转地. VOA Chinese, June 15, 2011.
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20110615-HK-serves-as-a-hub-123901659.html

(b) Quotation 3 refers to
George Friedman, The Next Decade: Where We've Been . . . and Where We're Going. Doubleday, 2011.

Mr Friedman predicts China will "collapse" in the coming decade.

See also book review:
J Peter Pham, 'The Next Decade,' by George Friedman: review. San Francisco Chronicle, Feb 6, 2011.
http://articles.sfgate.com/2011-02-06/books/27103222_1_george-friedman-political-power-american-century
(c) Under the heading of 74%的亿万富翁已经或在移民, the VOA report also cites
Xin Haiguang, China's "wealth Drain": Its Rich Emigrate. CNN via Economic Observer, June 13, 2011
http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/06/13/chinas-wealth-drain-its-rich-are-set-on-emigrating/?iref=allsearch

, which is translated from
(i) 信海光, 遏制贪官外逃，反贪大于反逃. 经济观察网, June 15, 2011
http://www.eeo.com.cn/2011/0615/203915.shtml
(ii) 信海光, 富人移民潮背后的社会死结. 经济观察网, Apr 22, 2011
http://www.eeo.com.cn/2011/0422/199565.shtml


(3) 美国就声援艾未未网站遭袭一事质问中国. VOA Chinese, June 15, 2011
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20110615-change-org-attacked-123911334.html
("美国国务院就声援艾未未的网站change.org 遭到黑客袭击一事，向中国政府提出质问。美国副国务卿贝尔就发生于今年四月的这件事，向中国外交部表达关切"0

(4) 时事聚焦：不平静的阿坝格尔登寺. VOA Chinese, June 15, 2011.
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20110615_KIRTI_GOMPA_BACKGROUNDER-123914359.html

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※ 修改:．choi 于 Jun 16 12:46:03 修改本文．[FROM: 129.10.0.0]