维基解密：中国可能过高估计自身实力

choi

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BBC CHinese, Jan. 7, 2011.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/world/2011/01/110107_wikileaks_china_australia.shtml
("这份战略评估报告认为，中国军事实力逐渐增强，加上解放军缺乏作战经验，在民族主义日益高涨和国民对中国在全球地位的期待不断增长之际，北京很可能会过度估计自身的军事实力，从而导致冲突发生。报告称，这种错觉可能导致严重的误判或危机，并使原本很小的事件迅速升级。")

My comment:
(a) The report is based on

Philip Dorling, Chinese expansion fears revealed. Sydney Morning Herald, Jan. 7, 2011.
http://www.smh.com.au/technology/technology-news/chinese-expansion-fears-revealed-20110106-19hna.html
("''The rapid improvements in PLA capabilities, coupled with a lack of operational experience and faith in asymmetric strategies, could lead to China overestimating its military capability. These factors, coupled with rising nationalism, heightened expectations of China's status, China's historical predilection for strategic deception, difficulties with Japan, and the Taiwan issue mean that miscalculations and minor events could quickly escalate.''')

(b) This is a 2006 strategic assessment by Australia's intelligence agencies, which Australia Foreign Affairs officials provided to the US embassy in Canberra. The latter sent a cable back to Washington DC, and subsequently WikiLeaks snatched the cable.


------------------------Separately
Chinese businessman bids £5m for UK's HMS Invincible. BBC, Jan. 7, 2011.
   

Quote:

"Lam Kin-bong - who owns restaurants in the West Midlands - has said he wants to turn the former warship into an international school in China. He said if he was not allowed to tow it to China he would instead try to berth the stripped-out carrier in Liverpool.

"Mr Lam, who began as a chef and now owns the Wing Wah chain of Chinese restaurants, is also a lawmaker in the city of Zhuhai, in southern China. He told the South China Morning Post that the bid - entered via his Zhuhai-based company Sunway Yacht Limited - was purely commercial.

"Mr Lam said he had spoken to the Chinese Embassy in London about the bid and received a supportive response.

My comment:
(a) West Midlands (region)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/West_Midlands_(region)
(b) Lam Kin-bong 英国珠海联谊会会长林建邦、陈慧菁伉俪
Wing Wah chain of Chinese restaurant  英国荣华餐饮集团
(c) A bold move, isn't it?
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