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羅添斌, 潛射雄二測評 劍龍級潛艦大升級. Liberty Times, July 7, 2011.
http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/jul/7/today-p1.htm
My comment: I read the news upon its publication at 3 pm. My impression was Taiwan's aim was aspirational, rather than a reality. After all,
(a) China announced the capability in mid-1980s but Annual Report to Congress: Military and Secutiry Developments Involving the People's Republic of China. 2010, by US Department of Defense, stated that enither JL-1 nor -2 was operational.
(b) Taiwan is not known to make its own torpedoes but has bought from US for decades. And I guess, just guess, capability to make a torpedo comes before that for a submarine-launched missile.
and (c) Not many nations are
HOWEVER, today this reports came out, based on the above report, which indicates Taiwan has tried though outcomes were unknown:
Taiwan 'tests sub-launched missile.' AFP, July 7, 2011 (9 hours ago).
http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5io6AwoNtZqbDPaS4t07IVTjXqg0A?docId=CNG.7e8ac63ac69f01c5fe7b5509115459b3.31
(c) submarine-launched missile
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Submarine-launched_missile
The list includes India's BrahMos, as well as China's YJ-82.
(i) "The Indian Navy operates a fleet of diesel-electric submarines of the Sindhughosh and Shishumar classes."
Indian Navy
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indian_Navy
It does not have nuclear-powered submarine--yet (Russia might lease one in the coming October). But none of India's current submarine can shoot missiles. The most India has done is test a missiel from a underwater platform (see (d) below).
Indeed, click BrahMos, you will read, "Variants: [among others] Submarine launched, Anti-Ship variant (under development, expected completion 2011)."
(ii) Harpoon (missile)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harpoon_(missile)
Quote: "At least 339 Harpoon missiles were sold to the Republic of China Air Force (Taiwan) for its F-16 A/B Block 20 fleet and the Taiwanese Navy, which operates four guided-missile destroyers and sixteen guided-missile frigates with the capability of carrying the Harpoon, include the eight former U.S. Navy Knox class frigates and the eight locally-built derivative of the Oliver Hazard Perry class frigates. There are also the four former U.S.N. Kidd class guided-missile destroyers, which have been sold to Taiwan and have the capability of carrying Harpoon missiles. Plus the 2 Zwaardvis/Hai Lung submarines and 12 P-3C can launch Harpoon missiles.
Note: Wiki provvides no reference for this paragraph.
(d) submarine-launched ballistic missile
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Submarine-launched_ballistic_missile
(i) Sagarika (missile)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sagarika_(missile)
(K-15 Sagarika (Sanskrit for Oceanic) is a nuclear-capable submarine launched ballistic missile with a range of 700 kilometres (435 mi); The missile was successfully test fired six times, and tested to its full range up to three times. The tests of February 26, 2008 was conducted from a submerged pontoon 50 metres (160 ft) beneath the surface off the coast of Visakhapatnam)
(e) I re-read the Liberty Times report just now, which is ambiguious. Even if Taiwan succeeds in firing HF-2E and or Harpoon missiles from a submarine (or two), it is unclear whether the submarines was above or under water. If the submarine(s) has to emerge before firing either missiles, it is not much of a deterent, but rather a suicide.
But see
台湾媒体称军方试验潜射雄风导弹.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/chinese_news/2011/07/110707_taiwan_china_missile.shtml
Quote:
台湾《自由时报》"报道还说,台湾军方费时5年,将原先为水面上舰艇发射的雄风二型导弹改装成为具有水下发射能力的反舰导弹。
"雄风二型反舰导弹自成军到现在已经20多年,根据台湾媒体先前的报道,潜射式的该型导弹也默默发展了至少十多年。
Quotation 1 is not seen in the online version of teh Liberty Times report. Yet I always believe that a print report in Taiwan must be considerably longer than the online version, for the simple reason that a copy of newspaper in Taiwan is like that in US: it is as thick as a mini-book.
(f) Hai Lung class submarine
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hai_Lung_class_submarine
Quote:
"In 2005, it was reported that the Hai Lung class submarines would be upgraded to be capable of launching the UGM-84 Harpoon anti-ship missile.[1]
"In 2008, the Pentagon notified the United States Congress of the sale to Taiwan of 32 UGM-84 Harpoon Block II missiles, along with two weapon control systems, other associated equipment and services.[2]
Note:
* Reference 1 is:
Taiwan to boost submarine force with Harpoon anti-ship missiles: Jane's. AFP, Sept 25, 2005.
http://www.spacewar.com/2005/050925045232.0c99y2bv.html
* In Taiwan, Zwaardvis class submarine is translated as 劍龍級潛艦 (zwaardvis is Dutch for "swordfish") and the two Taiwan-owned submarine is simply called 海龍 (the lead submarine), 海虎 (both of which are only occasionally categorized as 海龍級).
(g) At long last, I will return to a recent failture, which Taiwan military explained was produced in 2005 when technology was not mature.
羅添斌, 軍方首度證實:雄三飛彈 曾應急戰備部署. Liberty Times, June 29, 2011
http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/jun/29/today-p3.htm
-------------------------------------Separately
(1) Miles Yu, Inside China. Washington Times, July 7, 2011
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/jul/6/inside-china-988747365/
("Xue Li of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, on June 8 published an eye-catching article in the official Global Times newspaper that boldly challenged territorial claims made by Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore over the waters of the Malaccan Strait. * * * [China should] insist on having the right to send Chinese naval ships to the strait to 'fight pirates' because this area is “international water”)
My comment:
(a) The report cites
薛力:中国有权参与马六甲管理. 环球网, June 8, 2011 (评论 opinion)
http://opinion.huanqiu.com/roll/2011-06/1742703.html
(b) Well, Strait of Malacca is not international waters.
A couple of straits are, but they are so by international treaties. See international waters
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_waters
(section 1 International waterways)
And owners of Strait of Malacca have bared teeth. See
KL tells foreign powers to keep off Malacca Strait. Strait Times (or New Strait Times), Oct 11, 2004.
http://www.paklinks.com/gs/world-affairs/163138-malaysia-tells-foreign-powers-to-stay-away-from-malacca-straits.html
(c) The problem is not a right or not. In wartime, China's access to Strait of Malacca will be denied. A US air force personage once quipped that a missile could interrupt a hypothetical oil pipeline from Myanmar or Pakistan to China.
(2) 台湾纪念"七七事变"官热民冷. BBC Chinese, July 7, 2011.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/chinese_news/2011/07/110707_tw_77_anniversary.shtml
My comment: The report states, "台湾在民主化前,每逢像是七七事变或金门炮战等周年纪念,经常在官方的主导下成为社会的焦点." To me, it is simply untrue. In Cities of Kaohsiung and Taipei, nobody mentioned 金门炮战 and 七七事变 was a blip--up to 1984 when I left Taiwan for good.
(3)
(a) 香港亚视就误发江泽民去世消息道歉. BBC Chinese, July 7, 2011 (GMT 10:05)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/chinese_news/2011/07/110707_china_jiang_hktvapology.shtml
(b) 中国辟谣 日本媒体仍关注江泽民. BBC Chinese, July 7, 2011 (GMT 12:01)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/world/2011/07/110707_jp_about_jiangzemin.shtml
("《产经新闻》发出的号外:“江泽民先生去世”,直至周四晚上依然悬挂网络,且高踞最受欢迎新闻前五条")
(4) 俄拟向联合国申明北极主权诉求. BBC Chinese, July 7, 2011.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/world/2011/07/110707_russia_arctic.shtml
(5) 英国新航母10年内无机可载. BBC Chinese, July 7, 2011
http://www.bbc.co.uk/ukchina/simp/uk_life/2011/07/110707_lift_aircraft_carriers.shtml
("国家审计局的报告说,购买新战机延误投入服役的时间,将造成航空母舰10年没有舰载战机的空档")
My comment: This report is poorly translated, whose title and text suggest lack of AIRCRAFT for a decade--when in fact lack of both aircraft and carrier. Reading an English-language report on this subject will inform you that HMS Queen Elizabeth "will not enter service until 2020, leaving the UK with a decade-long gap without aircraft carrier capability as the existing Invincible class ships and their Harrier jets have been axed." AFP today. Both HMS Ark Royal (R07), the third and last of Invincible class, and BAE Harrier II retired in March, this year.
(6) 台湾公布陆客“得与不得”规定. BBC Chinese, July 7, 2011.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/simp/chinese_news/2011/07/110707_taiwan_china_tourist.shtml
(7) 中国和利比亚反对派亲密接触,经济考量多. VOA Chinese, July 7, 2011
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20110707-china-defense-125163914.html
("中国在利比亚问题上开始向西方靠拢")
(8) 马英九: 两岸对于历史诠释应该和解. VOA Chinese, July 7, 2011
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news/20110707-ma-on-sino-japanese-war.html
("马英九指出,中国国家主席胡锦涛在2005年抗战60周年时曾表示,国军在前线抗战,敌后协助作战的是中共,马英九说,这才比较接近事实,因为国军是抗战主力。* * * 中央研究院近代史研究员陈仪深教授表示,马英九总统谈到的对日抗战历史确实比较接近事实,不过,台湾现在应该走自己的路,而不是去争中国的正统。
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