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报告:美应制衡而非帮助中国崛起

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发表于 4-10-2015 17:03:46 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
VOA Chinese, Apr 10, 2015
www.voachinese.com/content/us-china-20150410/2714650.html

, which is based on

Robert D Blackwill and Ashley J Tellis, Revising US Grand Strategy Toward China. Council on Foreign Relations Press, Apr 10, 2015 (Council Special Report No 72; 54 pages)
(a) "Download the Full Report" in the left column, of this URL:
www.cfr.org/china/revising-us-grand-strategy-toward-china/p36371
(b) Ashley J Tellis. Senior Associate South Asia Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, undated
carnegieendowment.org/experts/?fa=198
(Note he is Indian; click "Latest Analysis" tab in the horizontal bar midway down the Web page)


Quote:

"In a classic work published at the height of the Second World War, Makers of Modern Strategy: Military Thought from Machiavelli to Hitler, editor Edward Meade Earle defined grand strategy as 'the art of controlling and utilizing the resources of a nation...to the end that its vital interests shall be effectively promoted and secured against enemies, actual, potential, or merely presumed.' " page 3

"Since its founding, the United States has consistently pursued a grand strategy focused on acquiring and maintaining preeminent power over various rivals, first on the North American continent, then in the
Western hemisphere, and finally globally." Ibid

"Though the Department of Defense during the George HW Bush administration presciently contended that its 'strategy must now refocus on precluding the emergence of any potential future global competitor' * * * there was some doubt at the time whether that document reflected Bush 41 policy." page 4

"Because the American effort to 'integrate' China into the liberal international order has now generated new threats to US primacy in Asia—and could eventually result in a consequential challenge to American power globally—Washington needs a new grand strategy toward China that centers on balancing the rise of Chinese power rather than continuing to assist its ascendancy. This strategy cannot be built on a bedrock of containment * * * because of the current realities of globalization. Nor can it involve simply jettisoning the prevailing policy of integration. Rather, it must involve crucial changes to the current policy in order to limit the dangers that China’s economic and military expansion pose to US interests in Asia and globally." Ibid

"a long-term strategic rivalry between Beijing and Washington is high. * * * Only a fundamental collapse of the Chinese state would free Washington from the obligation of systematically balancing Beijing, because even the alternative of a modest Chinese stumble would not eliminate the dangers presented to the United States in Asia and beyond."  page 5

"Washington’s current approach toward Beijing, one that values China’s economic and political integration in the liberal international order at the expense of the United States’ global preeminence and long-term strategic interests, hardly amounts to a 'grand' strategy, much less an effective one." page 6

"China's Evolving Grand Strategy [which is the sectional heading] * * * As Chinese theorist Ye Zicheng argues in his treatise on Chinese grand strategy, 'There is a close connection between the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and China’s becoming a world power. If China does not become a world power, the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation will be incomplete. Only when it becomes a world power can we say that the total rejuvenation of the Chinese nation has been achieved.' " pages 6-7

Note:
(a) There is no need to read the rest.
(b) Regarding the last quotation.
(i) Ye Zicheng 叶自成 (ed), Inside China's Grand Strategy; The perspective from the People's Republic. University Press of Kentucky, 2010
kentuckypress.com/live/title_detail.php?titleid=2391
(translated from 葉自成,中國大戰略; 中國成為世界大國的主要問題及戰咯選擇. 北京:中國社會科學出版社, 2003)
(ii) “中国历史上是一个那么强大的世界大国,复兴起来的中国如果不是一个世界大国的话,还能不能叫 ‘中华民族的伟大复兴’?我想不行。一定要是世界大国才可以叫 ‘实现中华民族的伟大复兴。’ “
叶自成:中国迈向世界大国之路, May 23, 2003.
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