Special report: Car
(b) Propulsion systems | The Great Powertrain Race; Carmakers are hedging their bets on powering cars.
http://www.economist.com/news/sp ... eat-powertrain-race
Quote:
(i) "Many of the most sophisticated parts needed for different kinds of advanced powertrains are not made by carmakers but by a select band of high-tech suppliers, including Bosch and Continental of Germany and Denso and Panasonic of Japan. Such suppliers will enjoy growing pricing power, says Philip Watkins of Citigroup, even as suppliers of low-tech parts will continue to be squeezed by the carmakers. In China, foreign parts-makers do not have to share their profits with their local joint-venture partners in the way foreign carmakers do, and Chinese parts-makers do not yet seem capable of matching the best Western and Japanese technology, so high-tech suppliers appear to have a bright future.
(ii) "Perhaps oddly, the Chinese do not seem to be investing heavily to catch up. The Bernstein study found that even the biggest local firms were skimping on research and development. The world’s three biggest makers—Toyota, GM and VW—each have R&D budgets of $8 billion-10 billion a year, whereas the big Chinese firms Bernstein studied are at best spending a few hundred million dollars each.
"Since both China and India are churning out vast quantities of engineering graduates, the world’s largest carmakers had been expected to shift much of their R&D there. But this has not happened, says Mr Mosquet of BCG: the most innovative carmakers seem to be those that keep most fundamental research at home, as Toyota, VW and Hyundai are doing, farming out only fairly peripheral work to labs in emerging markets. Bernstein’s study notes that, despite all those home-grown engineers, the Chinese carmakers are spending small fortunes hiring European ones. The domestic sort, says the study, mostly seem unable to do the kind of reverse engineering that allowed Japanese and Korean carmakers to catch up with the West. And the best ones are snapped up by the foreign carmakers in China, which can offer much higher pay.
"So all this new technology is giving the strongest of the rich world’s carmakers a breathing-space from new competition. But it will not come cheap, and they will need to pass the expense on to their customers.
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